Texas Hold'em: Probabilities for Pocket Pairs

By: PokerListings.com 4.3/5

When playing pocket pairs in Texas Hold'em, you must be able to accurately estimate the percentage of times you don't flop a set but an overcard comes to your hand.

The below table is a good one to memorize and gives you an understanding of how strong a given pocket pair really is and how different pocket pairs compare.

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Pocket Pair Probability of Not Hitting the Flop %
AA 0
KK 20.67
QQ 37.84
JJ 51.83
TT 62.94
99 71.53
88 77.92
77 82.43
66 85.39
55 87.12
44 87.96
33 88.22
22 88.24

Comments

2
  1. Paul

    2010-01-19

    These statistics are interesting and definitly good to know, but other than simply giving perspective, are there any practical applications (bet sizing, position in which to play the hands, etc...) to these numbers?

    Also, I was watching the WSOP on tv and they dropped this stat on me (seen it a couple times) that I found interesting and wanted yall to confirm/deny it. It said that if, at a 10-handed table you are dealt an ace, that there's a 70% chance that you are the only player holding an ace. I tried to do the math on my own but had some problems coming up with an exact number....4/52 = 7.7%, 4/51, 4/50, etc...?

  2. Sean Lind

    2010-01-19

    Paul,

    The math is pretty much what you got going on, it works out to 77.4%.

    7.7 X 10

    That's not actually correct, but it's close enough to cheat.

    -s

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