This all started after hearing, for the thousandth time, someone tell me how pocket aces never hold up online, how the sites are programmed to let people suck out.
As a person firmly rooted in logic, I kind of lose my shit when I hear people spout ridiculous superstition and bullshit as if it's fact. Unfortunately, I've come to learn that telling these people they're being dumb isn't really sufficient as an argument.
Then, I came to realize that since I have never actually run the numbers of online poker myself, I really was unable to say that these myths are false. Without any proof my word is no more valuable than theirs.
So, I set out to get some proof. I decided to take a large number of real-money online poker hands to run statistical analysis on, then compare my results to the perfect math. First, some details:
Although I downloaded 60gig worth of hand history text files (somewhere in the neighborhood of 47 million hands), my Dell laptop wasn't really able to run queries on a database that large. So for the following myths I used a total of 3,102,773 unique real-money hands played almost exclusively on Full Tilt Poker.
These hands range from $0.25/$0.50 to $500/$1,000.
For more details on where I got the hands, and how I came up with my numbers head to the last section of this article: Geeks Only - Technical Details.
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